Favorables in the GOP race

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Wednesday August 05, 2015 · 9:55 AM PDT

2015/08/05 · 09:55

When people talk about the polls in this GOP race, the focus is invariably on "who would you vote for?" I think this is misleading for a couple reasons. First, if favors personality over policy. People who support Trump, support him because he's Trump: they like him personally and there's nobody else quite like him in the field. People who support Jeb, however, may be just as likely to support Walker or Kasich, and so their vote gets split.

Granted, in our current electoral process, that is often enough to push one candidate over the top, which is why third-party candidates make people nervous. But because the primary elections are spread out over time, candidates are going to start dropping out, and support will begin to coalesce.

If we want to talk about which candidates have the most support from the GOP electorate, it seems to me that it makes a lot more sense to talk about favorables: not "who do you like best?" but "who would you be satisfied with?" If we look at the favorables in the recent Monmouth poll, the picture looks a little different.

LihTox

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Thursday October 09, 2008 · 6:09 PM PDT

2008/10/09 · 18:09

I'd send this to him if I knew how...

Dear Senator McCain,
I recognize that you are desperately trying to save a failing campaign, and a certain measure of desperation on your part is understandable. I have no problem with you going negative on Barack Obama (well I do, but I know that that's how politics works). Call him naive, call him misguided, call him inexperienced, call his ideas foolish, call him an empty suit or a celebrity. All par for the course.

LihTox

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Tuesday August 21, 2007 · 4:42 PM PDT

2007/08/21 · 16:42

I think that kos's criticism of the quotations from Jindal's article "How Catholicism is Different" is grossly unfair and exaggerated. The title makes it clear that this is an attempt to proselytize, which is allowable in certain contexts; heck, even atheists are proselytizing these days, telling us theists how stupid we are for believing in God.

By definition, proselytization has to point out the good points of the religion in question and/or point out the corresponding flaws in other religions. Proselytization crosses the line, in my opinion, when a) it is done in an inappropriate context (in a public classroom, on the front page of a secular newspaper, on my front doorstep, etc), b) it distorts facts about the other religion, or c) it demonizes people of other faiths (i.e. calls followers of other religions "evil" or "followers of Satan", unless of course they refer to themselves as "followers of Satan").

So let's consider whether he breaks these rules.

LihTox

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Tuesday November 07, 2006 · 10:48 PM PST

2006/11/07 · 22:48

It's a pretty popular theory around here that Lieberman is going to jump ship: either he'll caucus with the Republicans, or he'll resign and become Secretary of Defense. While it's certainly a possibility, I don't find the argument convincing.
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Favorables in the GOP race

An open letter to John McCain

Rebuttal to the front-page criticism of Jindal

Will Lieberman Jump Ship?