thenevadaindependent.com/…
As of 9:55 a.m. Eastern, he reports (with some paraphrasing):
On Thursday the Ds boosted Clark turnout to its highest total so far (31,400) and added more than 4,000 to the southern firewall … now 37,500, almost guaranteeing 40,000, he says “would give them some comfort and give Republicans heartburn.”
No guarantee, but with Washoe a wash so far, GOP needs a huge Election Day turnout there for a good chance.
Clark firewall “very” predictive of results, with some caveats of course.
D statewide lead 15,000 — probably 14,500 after all Thursday votes counted — or 2.7 percent. It means GOP needs indies breaking by double digits or severe D-base bleeding for Heller and Laxalt to win. As firewall grows, GOP margin for error diminishes.
“Election Day turnout — usually only 30 percent in a midterm, but conceivably higher in this one — is still the known unknown.”