Want to see Chrispie debating himself? It could happen!

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday November 01, 2015 · 7:46 AM PST

2015/11/01 · 07:46

The coming Fox Business and WSJ Republican debate has the following criteria for
selecting candidates for the debates:

1. No limit on the number of candidates in the main debate

2. all candidates who polled at 2.5 percent or higher in four of the most recent national polls leading up the debate to participate in the main event.

3. Those who fail to earn 2.5 percent but have at least 1 percent support will be invited to participate in an earlier undercard debate.

This gives rise to an interesting scenario, if things fall in a certain way.

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday October 16, 2015 · 7:28 AM PDT

2015/10/16 · 07:28

Take a look at the most recent Republican Presidential poll numbers:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...

That's 14 candidates. So anybody who polls below, let's say, 3 percent ought to be relegated to the kids' table. I believe that is the criterion of CNBC or CNN or Fox or whoever the hell that is conducting the next debate.

Here is a list of those who polled more than 3 percent: Trump, Carson, Rubio, Fiorina, Cruz, Bush.

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday October 09, 2015 · 7:19 AM PDT

2015/10/09 · 07:19

‘College Students for Bernie’ chapters explode nationwide; members bash Hillary as fake

http://www.thecollegefix.com/...

Some 164 “College Students for Bernie” groups have sprung up in recent months on college campuses nationwide...
“No one I know really likes Hillary Clinton at this point,” Brendan Eprile, president of the Oberlin chapter, told The College Fix in an email. “Hillary Clinton is a chameleon: she will side with the issues that she thinks will give her the best press. I think honestly, most people I know don’t trust Hillary Clinton. It doesn’t seem like she actually cares about the American people as a whole.”

Gee, I really wonder why they don't trust Hillary Clinton!

And to preempt those who want to say that these college kids are being influenced by right-wing media, let me bring you a brief glimpse of their world - they don't see Fox News. Not even when they are in a restaurant and the TV is on. And they don't listen to AM radio. So there!

Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) bear-market - where is the bottom?

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday September 24, 2015 · 6:46 AM PDT

2015/09/24 · 06:46

Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) has been in a protracted bear-market now. Here is a view of the wreckage. The number of Democratic Party voters who say they are voting for her in the primaries (using RCP poll average):

June 23: 62.4%
July 23: 57.8%
August 23: 49.3%
September 23: 40.5%

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday September 14, 2015 · 6:26 AM PDT

2015/09/14 · 06:26

Less than 2 months ago - July 19, 2015, to be precise, I posted a diary with the second part of the title asking the question, "HRC in freefall?"

http://www.dailykos.com/...

The national polling numbers then were:

July 15: HRC - 56.8 Sanders - 16.3 Biden - 11.3

Of course, there was the usual responses saying that HRC is not in a freefall and she still has a comfortable lead etc. etc. But that has happened since?

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday September 13, 2015 · 7:49 AM PDT

2015/09/13 · 07:49

One of the fallbacks of the Hillary Clinton supporters is that she has to be the nominee because she is the only one that is "electable" in the general election. The implied, and sometimes explicitly expressed, view is that Bernie Sanders is not.

But is HRC really so "electable" in the general elections? What about these charts then?

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday September 11, 2015 · 6:38 AM PDT

2015/09/11 · 06:38

One of the things that the media (which have been consistently wrong about Donald Trump's durability in the GOoPer primaries) have been parroting in recent days is that "once the field narrows", Trump's support will drop and one of the establishment candidates (like Bush, Walker, Rubio or Kasich) will take over.

Well, I don't think that is very likely. Here's why.

Poll

27 votes Show Results

Is the media right that Trump will lose the top spot if the GOP 2016 Presidential primary field is cut in half?

27 votes Vote Now!

Is the media right that Trump will lose the top spot if the GOP 2016 Presidential primary field is cut in half?

Yes

3 votes

24 votes

Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) enters bear market!

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday August 30, 2015 · 7:14 AM PDT

2015/08/30 · 07:14

Now that her national poll average has dipped below 48, Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) has entered a bear market.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...

If you look at her poll numbers since Sanders entered the race until her freefall began about a month and a half ago (high of 63.3 and low of 58.6) it roughly averages to about 60. Using stock-market parlance, a loss of 20% from 60 is a bear-market. And she got there this week (now at 47.8)

Btw, I did post a diary on July 19 asking if Clinton was in a freefall.

http://www.dailykos.com/...

As of that day, Clinton's average was 58.0 and Sanders was at 16.0 She has dropped a full 10 points from there - in just over a month. Now she is at 47.8 (a loss of 10.2) and Sanders is at 26.3 (a gain of 10.3)

Snow White and the 15 Dwarfs

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday July 25, 2015 · 5:04 PM PDT

2015/07/25 · 17:04

The Republican Presidential clown car has gotten so full that we need the services of astronomers who estimate how far from us some of the distant stars are (like "Rigel is at a distance of between 860 and 940 light years").

Well, I am not an astronomer but I estimate the number of candidates is 16. And one of them is Snow White aka Cruella aka Carly Fiorina. I have named the 15 Dwarfs below. Please add the names of any other dwarf that I may have missed.

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday July 25, 2015 · 10:42 AM PDT

2015/07/25 · 10:42

Not sure how accurate this information is or how credible the site yougov.com is, but there is an article there that says Trump is now polling 28% among Repub primary voters!

https://today.yougov.com/...

The polls were done July 18-20. That means 2 of those 3 days were after Trump's comments against McCain.

Poll

144 votes Show Results

Do you think Trump will go even higher?

144 votes Vote Now!

Do you think Trump will go even higher?

Yes

122 votes

22 votes

How good is RCP poll aggregation? HRC in freefall?

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday July 19, 2015 · 8:12 AM PDT

2015/07/19 · 08:12

How good are the RCP primary poll aggregation algorithms? The national poll shows Hillary Clinton in a free fall since the start of the month. Down from 63.0 to 56.8 Sanders is climbing steadily while Biden continues to be in a narrow range.

Details below.

Whirlaway

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday July 14, 2015 · 7:07 AM PDT

2015/07/14 · 07:07

Terrible, terrible news from Manhattan federal court.. It turns out that arrogant conservative criminal Dinesh D'Souza has to do way more community service than he originally thought he would be doing.

Details at: http://nypost.com/...

... D’Souza has to do eight hours each week for the entire five years he’s on probation and not just the eight months he was confined to a halfway house.
The judge also read aloud a report from a court-appointed psychologist who called D’Souza “arrogant” and “intolerant of others’ feelings.”

... [It] means D’Souza will have to do over 1,600 hours more service than he initially thought.

EDIT: Update - Made the Rec list?! Perhaps my first ever. Thanks everyone!

Newer
Older

RSS

Want to see Chrispie debating himself? It could happen!

We're gonna need a bigger kids' table!

STUDENT: ‘No one I know really likes Hillary Clinton at this point.’

Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) bear-market - where is the bottom?

HRC in freefall (this time w/o the question mark!)

HRC is "electable"? Jeez, look at this!

Why "once the field narrows" will not deter Trump

Hillary Clinton (NASDAQ: HRCL) enters bear market!

Snow White and the 15 Dwarfs

Trump goes to 28% post-McCain

How good is RCP poll aggregation? HRC in freefall?

Tragic! Arrogant Dinesh D'Souza has to do way more community service