National Poll post-Iowa: HRC 51 / Sanders 35

psychprofessor

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Wednesday February 03, 2016 · 2:46 PM PST

2016/02/03 · 14:46

Morning consult out with a new, national poll, post-Iowa.

HRC 51 (+1)

Sanders 35 (+1)

Interesting tidbits:

Obama approval among DEMS: 78 / 20 ; African Americans 87 / 11

Who won Iowa DEMS: HRC 78 / Sanders 7 / Don’t Know 13

Republican side:

Trump 38 Cruz 14 Rubio 12

morningconsult.com/...

CNN National: HRC 52 (+2); Sanders 38 (+4)

psychprofessor

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Monday January 25, 2016 · 4:58 PM PST

2016/01/25 · 16:58

New CNN National Poll: edition.cnn.com/...

Clinton 52, +2 from their Dec poll

Sanders 38, +4 from their Dec poll

Other important demographic breakdowns:

MEN

Clinton 44 Sanders 45

WOMEN

Clinton 58 Sanders 33

Self-Identified DEMOCRATS

Clinton 67 Sanders 26

INDEPENDENTS

Clinton 25 Sanders 59

WHITES

Clinton 45 Sanders 42

NON-WHITES

Clinton 58 Sanders 34

One of the more interesting breakdowns for me was:

MADE UP MIND / MIGHT CHANGE MIND

Whites 55 / 44 Non-whites 78 / 22

Florida: HRC 62 - Bernie 26; Trump +32 for REPS

psychprofessor

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Wednesday January 20, 2016 · 7:07 AM PST

2016/01/20 · 07:07

Just a quick story, a new Florida poll dropped this morning showing Hillary up 36, 62-26.

You can see the full article here:

www.sun-sentinel.com/…

On the Republican side it looks like Trump is pulling away, even from two in-state competitors:

Trump 48

Cruz 16

Rubio 11

Jeb 10

Florida’s primary is on March 15th and is a closed primary. There are 207 pledged delegates at stake and 31 unpledged. Right now it seems Hillary has a commanding lead — the dynamics may change as other states vote before Florida. Also on the 15th, Illinois, Ohio, North Carolina and Missouri go to the polls.

PEW Dem Primary: HRC 45 / Sanders 24 / Biden 8

psychprofessor

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Friday October 02, 2015 · 12:31 PM PDT

2015/10/02 · 12:31

Hot off the presses, a new PEW public research poll. It appears that Clinton remains the front-runner with Biden not as strong as previous polls show. I think overall this poll gives HRC a fairly commanding lead, especially with non-whites.

Among Democratic and Democratic-leaning potential primary voters, 45% name Hillary Clinton as their first choice, with Bernie Sanders mentioned by 24% and 8% mentioning Joe Biden. Other candidates are named by 2% or fewer. In this open-ended question, 21% of possible Democratic primary voters do not currently offer a first choice.

Democrats' Views of 'New Ideas,' Experience and the 2016 Campaign

Though Clinton is named by more Democratic voters overall, among the roughly half (48%) of the Democratic electorate that would be more likely to support a candidate who wants to cut the size of large banks and financial institutions, support is more divided (38% name Clinton as their favored candidate, 34% name Sanders). Among those who say they would either be less likely to support a candidate who favored reducing the size of banks, or that this would not matter to their vote, 51% prefer Clinton, while 15% prefer Sanders.

psychprofessor

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Sunday October 28, 2012 · 10:26 AM PDT

2012/10/28 · 10:26

Tweet from Geoff Garin for Priorities 2012:

NEWS FLASH: Our new Virginia poll for @Priorities2012 has Obama up 49%-46% w/ likely voters. 807 interviews, Thurs-Sat. Party ID +1 Dem

psychprofessor

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Saturday October 27, 2012 · 2:01 PM PDT

2012/10/27 · 14:01

Nice piece published today by Andrew Sullivan: http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/...

Some tidbits below the fold:

psychprofessor

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday October 22, 2012 · 7:59 AM PDT

2012/10/22 · 07:59

Never heard of this poster before, but it comes up in Nate's twitter feed and he includes them in his weighting for each state.

More below the fold.

RSS

National Poll post-Iowa: HRC 51 / Sanders 35

CNN National: HRC 52 (+2); Sanders 38 (+4)

Florida: HRC 62 - Bernie 26; Trump +32 for REPS

PEW Dem Primary: HRC 45 / Sanders 24 / Biden 8

Virginia: 0 49 / R 46 (LV)

Andrew Sullivan calls bullshit on Rasmussen and Gallup

WI: Obama 51 / Romney 46 - Angus Reid