OK folks , this is a pretty quick and dirty massaging of the numbers.
Since Thursday isn't over , I'm starting with Obama's count of 1880 and accepting the Clinton number of 2210 (with the MS-1 win) as the final metric.
I'm also giving Clinton higher margins in her wins then I think will occur.
This is not about the popular vote - simply delegate totals.
I'm imagining that the supers in the upcoming contests wil follow the % victory exactly, and not factoring in population density, delegate districts , or urban vs,rural voting patterns - simply extrapolating from the percentages . Since Obama does better in urban districts with more delegates, this , combined with the high percentages I'm awarding Clinton probably underestimates Obama's actual strength . I'm aiming to see how close Obama could come to clinch (including FL and MI) under a less than rosy scenario.
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