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View Diary: Private prisons in AZ: failures by any measure, protected by Republicans (9 comments)

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  •  Good point, and one Meteor Blades wrote about (2+ / 0-)
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    Tinfoil Hat, RWood

    Just the other day...CCA wants to buy state prisons as long as the states insure that they will be profitable.

    MB's diary mentions the proposal stipulates the prisons should stay at 90% capacity while CCA manages them.

    There is no belief, however foolish, that will not gather its faithful adherents who will defend it to the death. -- Isaac Asimov

    by tytalus on Thu Feb 16, 2012 at 08:05:39 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  Kudos to MB: I missed that diary (1+ / 0-)
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      but the stats of incarceration are staggering.  Assume 100 cases. National average is 70% of cases end with plea bargain.  Assuming that no one accepts a plea bargain if he is innocent, then we are left with 30% of cases that go to trial
      The conviction rate for jury trials is also 70% so this means 21 of the 30 cases result in conviction.
      However, the Innocence Project estimates that 10% of all people incarcerated are innocent.  This means 10 of every 100 inmates are innocent.  So if that 10% is found in the sample that goes to trial, it appears that a jury trial is a crap shoot with the chances of the jury getting it right roughly the same  as a coin flip.

      No wonder these corporations can begin building new prisons posited on 90% occupancy.  I also forgot to mention the 3 strike rule as another element cited in the SEC report that would help guarantee maximum occupancy  

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