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View Diary: Private prisons in AZ: failures by any measure, protected by Republicans (9 comments)

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  •  Good point, and one Meteor Blades wrote about (2+ / 0-)
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    Tinfoil Hat, RWood

    Just the other day...CCA wants to buy state prisons as long as the states insure that they will be profitable.

    http://www.dailykos.com/...

    MB's diary mentions the proposal stipulates the prisons should stay at 90% capacity while CCA manages them.

    There is no belief, however foolish, that will not gather its faithful adherents who will defend it to the death. -- Isaac Asimov

    by tytalus on Thu Feb 16, 2012 at 08:05:39 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  Kudos to MB: I missed that diary (1+ / 0-)
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      tytalus

      but the stats of incarceration are staggering.  Assume 100 cases. National average is 70% of cases end with plea bargain.  Assuming that no one accepts a plea bargain if he is innocent, then we are left with 30% of cases that go to trial
      The conviction rate for jury trials is also 70% so this means 21 of the 30 cases result in conviction.
      However, the Innocence Project estimates that 10% of all people incarcerated are innocent.  This means 10 of every 100 inmates are innocent.  So if that 10% is found in the sample that goes to trial, it appears that a jury trial is a crap shoot with the chances of the jury getting it right roughly the same  as a coin flip.

      No wonder these corporations can begin building new prisons posited on 90% occupancy.  I also forgot to mention the 3 strike rule as another element cited in the SEC report that would help guarantee maximum occupancy  

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