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View Diary: Projecting Texas: The coming Democratic plurality (159 comments)

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  •  I wouldn't put too much stock... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HeyMikey, wu ming

    ...in exit polls when it comes to gauging Texas Hispanic voting patterns, especially the 2004 numbers which have been well debunked.

    A better example of Hispanic party affiliation is checking the actual votes in counties along the border that are overwhelming Hispanic -- like 96-98% Hispanic (Zapata, Webb, Zavala, Starr). These numbers show a much higher percentage of Texas-Mexicans voting for D candidates (like 85% when we have credible D candidates).

    I laugh at the cynics who caution us not to rely on Hispanic voters preferring the D party. It's as absurd as warnings that Black voters might change their minds and start voting R in the near future.

    "Force is as pitiless to the man who possesses it, or thinks he does, as it is to its victims; the second it crushes, the first it intoxicates.” Simone Weil

    by chuco35 on Mon Jul 30, 2012 at 09:01:57 AM PDT

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    •  Turnout & policy: EDUCATION. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus, Lilredhead

      IIRC education is a big factor in turnout %. The more educated someone is, the more likely he or she is to vote.

      So it's probably no coincidence that:

      * Whites are currently (on average) better-educated than Hispanics.

      * Whites are currently (on average) more prosperous than Hispanics, thus better able to afford private schools.

      * The Texas GOP is happy to sabotage public education.

      GOP motto: As long as they're down, keep your foot on their neck as long as possible.

      "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

      by HeyMikey on Mon Jul 30, 2012 at 09:26:59 AM PDT

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