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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Michigan court rules emergency manager measure to stay on ballot (50 comments)

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  •  Rasmussen releases more making GOPers unhappy (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mark27, itskevin, lina, askew

    They show Obama at 48-50 job approval, but they show the partisan breakdown as a freebie this time.  And it's 83% of Dems approving, 86% of GOPers disapproving, and independents giving Obama 49-48 approval.  So an accurate partisan breakdown would give Obama a positive job approval, which we already knew all along.

    Meanwhile, Rasmussen's own electoral college scorecard, based exclusivley on Rasmussen's own polling, gives Obama 247 electoral votes compared to 206 for Romney... even with their own skewed polling, Ras can't keep Obama too far from 270.  And this is with Wisconsin as a tossup!

    Rasmussen is junk, but it's occasionally entertaining junk.

    So I enjoyed today's material for emotional gratification.

    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Mon Aug 06, 2012 at 07:45:02 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Did the partisan breakdown (0+ / 0-)

      move in our direction for August? I suspect it will each month between here and the election, but perhaps Scotty hasn't started ceding to reality just yet.

      I'm asking the question because I just can't bring myself to click through to his site. :P

      •  There's no reason to expect what you say... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        R30A

        ...since Rasmussen isn't a valid pollster and gets party ID and toplines wrong all the time in the first place.

        So I don't expect his party ID to move in our direction toward the fall.

        That is, unless you think Scotty is going to panic and move his numbers in line with other pollsters to save face.  I suppose that's possible, but I don't assume any such thing.

        44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Mon Aug 06, 2012 at 08:07:13 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I'm guessing (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lina, R30A

          he'll try to save face a bit at the end. And also that he'll have more trouble getting the partisan breakdown numbers he prefers when Dems start engaging in his surveys more as the campaign heats up.

          But as you say, these expectations could give him way too much credit.

      •  yes it did (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        lina, itskevin

        though only marginally.

        Scotty's write-up is here for those who want to look. The "GOP edge" is now the smallest it's been this year (0.9%).

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