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View Diary: No Change In Obama Gallup Approval (Still 50-44) Is Great News UPDATED! (25 comments)

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  •  Important number the same: 49-44 (2+ / 0-)
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    Dave460, typo ink

    That's pretty disappointing.  That indicates, most likely, about a 3-point lead in yesterday's polling.  Hey -- good of course, but way down from the past three days.  Bloom off the rose a little; expected with the job numbers and usual bounce-fade.

    If O keeps a 2-3 point day every day for the next three, the margin should remain at 5-6 by Friday with all days post-DNC, and that's pretty damn good.

    •  Keep in mind their head-to-head tracker is 7 days (1+ / 0-)
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      Frank Palmer

      So movement there is much more slow and incremental.  Obama got a couple of great days to close out the DNC that gave Obama a sudden shift in the horserace numbers, but but that's unusual.

      I expect Obama to possibly gain another point or so in the head-to-head over the next couple of days, and then stall out from there before eventually easing back a couple of points as the convention high subsides from the tracker.

      If a week from now, Obama has a 3-4 point lead in the Gallup tracker, I'll be quite happy.

    •  One day samples (0+ / 0-)

      in a tracking poll, especially on a weekend, have a lot of variability. Keeping a 5 point lead next Sat. would be great. Don't forget, Gallup has had a R bias lately. The CW today is that Romney is in trouble and that could have a self fulling prophecy effect going forward.

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