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View Diary: Battleground snapshot: Another bad weekend for Romney (85 comments)

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  •  Which state pollster is different (8+ / 0-)

    This table compares all state polling against the 2008 margin, and the projects what that would mean nationally.  So if a pollster showed the race in NC was 48-48, that would suggest an Obama lead of around 7 points (since Obama won North Carolina by .3%)

    They are 13 pollsters that have conducted at least 3 state polls.  Gee, try and find that absurd outlier.


    The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

    by fladem on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 01:04:47 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Very Interesting Indeed (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      blue aardvark, Supavash, a gilas girl

      Would it be too much to ask the MSM to look into the history of these pollsters?

      I am surprised by Fox's #... although their polling this year has been pretty good for Obama too. Maybe that's part of their "fair & balanced" act... "we can't be biased, look at our poll..." ... ("which we then ignore so we can talk up the latest Rasmussen #s instead....")

    •  Today's polls per Political Wire (6+ / 0-)
      Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Gravis Marketing)

      Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (We Ask America)

      Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 40% (We Ask America)

      North Carolina: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

      All of a sudden Gravis and WAA are flooding the market. And of the pollsters you list above, guess who's next worst to Ras? Gravis. And next after that? WAA.

      The stench of paying for polls from pollsters likely to give GOP results wafts through the data.

      Romney economics: Feed our seed corn to the fattest pigs and trust them to poop out jobs.

      by blue aardvark on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 01:27:28 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  You can add Purple Strategies to that list (3+ / 0-)

        but even they find scant return for Romney just now outwith perhaps NC, more likely AZ and MO.

        Actually, WAA has generally been pretty decent of late. The last time the coven of GOP leaners aligned and polled was around mid August after the Ryan announcement, where Romney led by a +3 in way too many swing polls released that particular week but not since then has he had those kind of numbers...

        "Never trust a man who, when left alone with a tea cosy, doesn't try it on!!"

        by EcosseNJ on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 01:54:36 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  It's a new month and the GOP is going all in (3+ / 0-)

        to work the refs and throw their own polls into the mix to dilute the polling composites.  For some reason, they feel that if the race isn't perceived as close, their people won't show up.

        After the first debate, Obama will likely get a small bounce in some polls and more solidification of his lead in state polls.  Politico reported that the Romney camp is showing more solidification behind Obama's numbers and softening of Romney's with bad public polls (from their perspective) expected in Nevada, Ohio and VA (I guess we got the Columbus Dispatch poll on Sunday which sort of illustrated their point).  PPP gave them relatively good news, but I don't think the Romney camp has much regard for them.

        Alternative rock with something to say:

        by khyber900 on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 01:55:46 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Rightwing strategy for 'credibility' (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        blue aardvark

        Keep moving to a new company/organization name

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