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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/12 (afternoon edition) (141 comments)

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  •  The reason I think Obama would eke out a win in CO (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin, MBishop1, askew, KingofSpades

    You have Quinnipiac and SUSA giving Romney a 1 point lead; however, you have one of the best in the business, Ann Selzer, giving Obama a 4 point lead.

    But the key is, Democratic presidential and Senatorial candidates have been strongly outperforming the polling averages in CO the past few election cycles - by about 3-4 points.  

    It's hard to put a finger on exactly why, but the best guess is a high number of Latino, young, and transient voters.

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