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View Diary: Gallup: R 49 - O 47 (230 comments)

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  •  You clearly don't understand the poll (6+ / 0-)

    It's on a 7 day moving average.  That's a long ass time in politics. So the poll going up or down today doesn't necessarily have anything to do with how the President polled yesterday.  He could've dropped a good day and that's why it went down.

    Also, ZERO of this sample was polled after the debate last night, so we have no idea how it impacted it.

    I swear, with friends like the ones I'm seeing on the comments, I wonder how the hell we've ever one anything before.

    •  Well... (0+ / 0-)

      We are pretty sure that Thursday was a good day for Romney. It's POSSIBLE it wasn't if Friday was a truly EPIC day for Romney, but based on Gallup's previous notes about the post-debate numbers we're fairly certain that Thursday-Friday were bad for Obama. (Obama was +5 reistered voters in their Saturday-Sunday sample, even in Thursday-Friday sample... I misposted earlier).

      I'll be interested to watch the PPP twitter feed to see if they give us any hints as to where the national numbers are now.

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