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View Diary: Rasmussen exposed as Republican shill (117 comments)

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  •  Ras' error is weighting by party ID (0+ / 0-)

    They're one of the few pollsters who do this. Their polls ended up being systematically off because they assumed that instead of the electorate leaning democratic (as in recent elections), this year it would lean republican.

    Most pollsters recognition that self-reported party identification is attitudinal and fluid. Rasmussen treats this self-reported information as a stable characteristic and weights accordingly.

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