Skip to main content

View Diary: Twit Watch: Dylan Byers at Politico tries to kiss up to Nate Silver; Silver tells him to take a hike (246 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  "Provides highly accurate views" (8+ / 0-)

    I'd choose "Statistically significant", and of course within that statement "significant" needs to be defined first anyway - kind of like the difference between "accurate", "precise"  and "exact".

    And, of course, from a quantum standpoint all reality is statistical. There's some chance I could break my leg going to get a cup of coffee, but so far the probability has been low....

    Without geometry, life is pointless. And blues harmonica players suck.

    by blindcynic on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 02:37:09 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  Unless we collapse the waves of probability: (5+ / 0-)
      And, of course, from a quantum standpoint all reality is statistical. There's some chance I could break my leg going to get a cup of coffee, but so far the probability has been low....
      Once humans evolve consciously, consensus reality can become a major factor in future outcomes. In the meantime, watch your step; you don't want to trip over Schrodinger's cat ;-)


      A child of five would understand this. Send someone to fetch a child of five. -- Groucho Marx

      by Pluto on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 03:06:09 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Have to Look (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Bob Johnson, Pluto, kyril, G2geek

        Of course, the trigger is taking the time to actually investigate the phenomena.  The measuring collapses the wave.

        "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

        by PrahaPartizan on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 03:43:49 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  The measurement collapses the wave function... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Bob Johnson

          ... which is the mathematical description of the probability of a particle having certain observable characteristics.  But the tradeoff between one measurement for another, for example between measuring velocity and mass, is not equivalent to the assertion that other sets of characteristics are affected in exactly the same way by the same measurement.  

          This election was the turning point toward a future with a future.

          by G2geek on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 07:26:41 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  defining statistical significance... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Bob Johnson, Pluto

      ... is usually left to the experimenter to set before performing the experiment, subject to various conventions of the field in which s/he works.  In the human and social sciences, p < .05 is usually sufficient.  In the physical sciences, one can add a few more decimal places.

      The phrase I originally used, "...to a high degree of accuracy..." is technically correct, since it expresses in the positive, what is usually expressed in the negative as the probability that the apparent support for a hypothesis is actually in error.

      This election was the turning point toward a future with a future.

      by G2geek on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 07:23:12 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

  • Recommended (160)
  • Community (83)
  • Baltimore (80)
  • Freddie Gray (59)
  • Bernie Sanders (58)
  • Civil Rights (51)
  • Elections (40)
  • Culture (36)
  • Hillary Clinton (33)
  • Media (33)
  • 2016 (29)
  • Racism (29)
  • Law (29)
  • Education (25)
  • Labor (25)
  • Environment (24)
  • Politics (23)
  • Republicans (23)
  • Barack Obama (21)
  • Police (19)
  • Click here for the mobile view of the site