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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Weekly Open Thread: Saturday Edition (521 comments)

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  •  The biggest threats are PA, MI and WI (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fearlessfred14, MichaelNY

    I know Jon Husted's 2016 plan is to split Ohio by CD, therefore guaranteeing Ohio (no matter what) would always split its electoral votes either 4-14 or 6-12 if the Democrat "wins".  That is a severe threat, but it is only a severe threat if they touch Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. We need to have all of those electoral votes.

    •  They already considered it in WI and PA (5+ / 0-)

      Here's why it didn't happen:

      PA: The legislative gerrymanders are shaky enough already. The last thing a SEPA legislator in a marginal seat wants is a bunch of OFA volunteers from Philly canvassing his district, because there's a good chance they would spread fluff literature about his opponent.

      WI: The Wisconsin GOP is notably self-important, and they didn't install their choice for RNC chairman for nothing. Since they packed WI-03, leaving only WI-01, WI-07 and WI-08 competitive, they'd be halving the number of electoral votes at stake, which could harm their ability to get resources from the national party.

      What's more, I don't think Scott Walker would sign such a bill. He wants every one of Wisconsin's ten electoral votes for himself in 2016, and the current system would strengthen his electability argument.

      Male, 22, -4.75/-6.92, born and raised TN-05, now WI-02. "You're damn right we're making a difference!" - Senator-Elect Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison)

      by fearlessfred14 on Sun Nov 11, 2012 at 10:12:12 AM PST

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      •  Also, there's a significant possibility (note, not (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        at this time a probability) that Corbett could be vulnerable and replaced by Jan., 2015---leaving little time to implement an unpopular (for many Republicans) proposal. Kane seems serious about checking Corbett when he was ag.

        Tha Pa. leg., even when all GOP, is remarkably slow in making radical changes (witness the many failed GOP governors attempts to remove unionized state stores).

        "A young man who wishes to remain a sound Atheist cannot be too careful of his reading. There are traps everywhere ". C. S. Lewis

        by TofG on Sun Nov 11, 2012 at 11:12:32 AM PST

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        •  Btw, if Ohio put in an ev by Congressional (0+ / 0-)

          District could that be repealed (like the anti-union bill)?

          "A young man who wishes to remain a sound Atheist cannot be too careful of his reading. There are traps everywhere ". C. S. Lewis

          by TofG on Sun Nov 11, 2012 at 11:14:12 AM PST

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          •  I don't get why they would do this. (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jncca, MichaelNY, Audrid

            Ohio has been to the right of the tipping point in every election since forever. It's the inverse of PA and WI in that sense. Wouldn't it be to our advantage to be guaranteed four EVs from the state?

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