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View Diary: The First Shots Fired in the Coming GOP Civil War? (283 comments)

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  •  You're right (0+ / 0-)

    about 55 per cent, but you're wrong that that will be hard to get.  There's two possibilities.  Either the GOP starts now rebranding in a way which enables them to win the White House again in the next 4 to 8 years or they don't.  If they do, they will lose at least one of the three groups which make up their coalition.  If that happens, 55 will be easy for the Dems.  If they don't, then you may be right and they hang on the House. But then they will lose seats in the Senate, they will lose the White House again in 16 and they will start to lose adherents as a result.  No on likes to be on the losing team time and time again.  Especially people with big money to contribute.  The GOP will lose the House by 18 as well as everything else.  
    But for these reasons and for others, I don't think the second possibility is likely and, indeed, we're seeing the first already play itself out.  Once Rush and Bill-O lose their authority over the party - and this is already happening, public questioning of their wisdom would never have happened like this four year ago - the dam will break.  
     

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