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View Diary: The FL GOP's worst fear come true: Cuban-Americans in Miami swung hard to Dems in 2012 (144 comments)

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  •  There us ample evidence (3+ / 0-)

    That the 1994 "revolution" occurred because of Democratic voter drop off.  Gingrich's great idea was to treat a midterm election like a presidential year for the party base.

    "There ain't no sanity clause." Chico Marx

    by DJ Rix on Wed Nov 14, 2012 at 10:25:29 PM PST

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    •  First of all, I'd like evidence for that, too (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DJ Rix, Zack from the SFV

      Was Democratic turnout in 1994 much lower than average for a midterm election? I don't know; perhaps you do.

      But from what I've seen, nationwide, Democratic and liberal turnout was not particularly lower than average for a midterm election in 2010; however, Republican and conservative turnout was much higher than average for a midterm election.

      Only midterm-to-midterm election comparisons make sense, because there is always a big dropoff in turnout from all demographics from presidential years to midterm years.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Wed Nov 14, 2012 at 10:45:46 PM PST

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      •  I think you just provided (0+ / 0-)

        your own answer. Typical midterm Democratic voting in 1994, higher than average  Repug participation due to Gingrich's framing it for them as a national contest.

        "There ain't no sanity clause." Chico Marx

        by DJ Rix on Thu Nov 15, 2012 at 03:05:06 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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