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View Diary: Danger of our own Bubble (42 comments)

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  •  true but.... (1+ / 0-)
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    that doesnt change the narrow gaps in those battleground states.  

    We got 332 this time.  Lets say we work our butts off and next time we pick up Georgia and NC.  Thats 362.  Big Dog got 370 in 1992 and 379 in 1996.  President Obama wasnt within 10 points of one of the worst candidates in history in any other red state (Missouri was 9.6% - rounded to 10%).  Realistically 362 may be our new glass ceiling.  

    Look at this chart from Nate Silver

    If you cut off our "safe" states at Wisconsin we have 227EVs.

    If you cut Republicans at Georgia they have 175.  Thats a nice cushion but one that falls away quickly.

    Florida - 29 EVs
    Pennsylvania  - 20 EVs
    Ohio - 18 EVs
    North Carolina - 15 EVs
    Virginia - 13 EVs

    Thats the 95 Republicans need to win.  Had Team R-Money been smart they would have gone after those 5 states and nothing else.  Suck it up and admit being wrong about the auto bailout and he might have won Ohio.  Name Santorum VP and he might win Penn.  Now you just have to win Florida and Virginia by hook or crook - with an emphasis on crook.

    We cant sit back and look at our current Electoral map and think we are sitting pretty.  

    It is well that war is so terrible -- lest we should grow too fond of it. Robert E. Lee

    by ksuwildkat on Mon Nov 12, 2012 at 01:45:00 PM PST

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