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View Diary: Do states have 'house effects' when it comes to polling? (68 comments)

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  •  Average getting 41 of 42 is not useful (1+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY

    Only 4 states in the country had margins under 5%.  Saying the average got 41 of 42 right is like saying the Pacific Ocean has more than two gallons of water in it.

    Polling was terrible this year, the vast majority of it with a smallish to very large Republican house effect.  But when margins are as huge as they were (with only Florida and North Carolina truly "close"), any semi-legitimate pollster would have been hard-pressed to get the winner of 48 of the 50 states wrong, and no legit pollster should have missed 46 of the 50 states.

    Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

    by tommypaine on Mon Dec 24, 2012 at 12:55:05 AM PST

    •  Hilarious line (0+ / 0-)
      Saying the average got 41 of 42 right is like saying the Pacific Ocean has more than two gallons of water in it.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Mon Dec 24, 2012 at 04:59:56 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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