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View Diary: CO2 Emissions Rate Grew 3.1%/yr for 2000-2012: Catastrophic Exponential Growth (134 comments)

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  •  Prof. Kevin Anderson's must-see talk (7+ / 0-)

    It's very sobering that he does, you know, math (that radical thing Nate Silver got attacked for...) on what claims are often made about climate change and finds the conventional wisdom wanting.

    Here's an abstract:

    Many scientists and policy-makers continue to claim it is possible, albeit challenging, to contain the global increase in mean surface temperature at or below 2°C relative to preindustrial levels.  However, despite the increasingly vociferous rhetoric around ‘transitioning to a low carbon economy’, current emissions growth is much more aligned with temperature rises of 4°C or higher, and possibly within just a few decades. Disturbingly, against the backdrop of unprecedented emissions growth, even a 4°C future now demands significant levels of mitigation.

    This framing of climate change represents a radical departure from the more incremental mitigation proposed by many policy makers and scientific reports. Whilst orthodox expertise maintains “2°C is not only possible but achievable without sacrificing the benefits of economic growth and rising prosperity”, this paper argues “it is difficult to envisage anything other than a planned economic recession being compatible with 2°C, 3°C and increasingly 4°C futures”.

    Consequently, whether in terms of mitigation or adaptation, we face a profound paradigm shift, triggered ostensibly by climate change, but with repercussions across all facets of contemporary society. Such a fundamental transition leaves society with three clear choices. To continue the delusion that climate change can be addressed adequately through rhetoric, financial fine-tuning and piecemeal incrementalism; to interpret such conclusions as a message of despair and futility; or to acknowledge that “at every level the greatest obstacle to transforming the world is that we lack the clarity and imagination to conceive that it could be different”, and that through immediate harnessing of human will and ingenuity we can yet deliver relatively low-carbon and climate-resilient communities. - thoughts on energy, the environment, and society.

    by barath on Sun Dec 02, 2012 at 07:31:53 PM PST

    •  We need to imagine a different society, (8+ / 0-)

      that has far more community, using far less energy, and put people to work achieving it.

      Recession can be avoided by putting people to work transforming the way we live.

      look for my eSci diary series Thursday evening.

      by FishOutofWater on Sun Dec 02, 2012 at 07:50:34 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  YES All have to participate to effect significant (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      change. We cannot expect any poor nation or suffering people to take a greater portion of the burden... they simply will not lay down so others can sacrifice less.

      So we need answers that are on the person level, the local level followed by the larger regional levels to come up with changes. We need to vote for supporting every one who is willing (and they will be when they see benefits) to fix thier energy use. Most willnot do anything if they don't see others doing it. Why should they do without and maybe even be mocked or punished for trying to save our world?

      We need theater, TV, stories, speakers, icons, appealing media stars, .... Constant drip drip of bad news is not enough and actually may depress the majority from taking action. We are the Change, the Hope and the Future we want. Articles, books, videos, u-tube presentations that make other laugh while changing perceptions painlessly. My son, who was a rabid Limbaugh fan, now has come around to admitting that GW is happening... He has installed solar panels and after some gentle example setting got rid of his gas hog pick-up and went for a very good mpg  vehicle... He has eliminate dhis water guzzling lawn ...He has a way to go but show him the advantage instead of nagging and he will go all the way...

      The CO2 producers give us jobs and what we want as long as we give them money to do so.

      Fear is the Mind Killer...

      by boophus on Sun Dec 02, 2012 at 09:49:48 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I heard that talk. (0+ / 0-)

      Definitely wasn't the best I've heard on the subject, though, there are certainly people who have done better.

      Do a Google search for Peter Sinclair and his "Greenman3610" channel on YT......

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