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View Diary: Best Senate predictions of 2012 (60 comments)

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  •  This doesn't proof anything (0+ / 0-)

    You will knever know that the 60% odds six months out were true

    My personal model (aka gut feeling) already showed me in 2011 that Obama had a 90% reelection chance. Because after Perry had his "Oops" moment it was clear that there was no dangereous opponent in the race.

    So I'm 50% better than Nate.

    The most dangerous worldview is the worldview of those who never viewed the world - Alexander von Humboldt

    by germanliberal on Fri Dec 14, 2012 at 07:39:35 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

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