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View Diary: White House task force reviewing gun violence options pushes to meet end of month deadline (235 comments)

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  •  If that doesn't count suicides... (0+ / 0-)

    ...this must be an anomaly (perhaps seasonal?). Where did this number come from?

    Today is the eighth day of the year (not quite over in fact). There are approximately 365.25 days in a year.

    Data (pg. 42) for the United States shows (data for 2011 is preliminary):

    • Annual deaths via firearms (all causes): 32,163 (2011), 31,672 (2010)
    • Annual suicides via firearms: 19,766 (2011), 19,392 (2010)
    • Computed non suicide deaths via firearms: 12,397 (2011), 12,280 (2010)
    • "Per Day" suicides via firearm: 33.9 (2011), 33.6 (2010)
    • "First Eight Days" of suicide via firearms: 271.5 (2011), 269.0 (2010)

    Thus, if there have been 588 shooting deaths to date in 2013 including (I assume) crimes and accidents but excluding suicides and such events are uniformly distributed, this is over two times the recent historical rate.

    In any event, this number does not seem representative of any long term trend. Surely it's not caused by a sudden proliferation of guns -- about 40 to 50 percent of households had firearms in recent years and surely in the last year that hasn't risen to be 80 to 100 percent.

    •  Correction... (0+ / 0-)

      The last two bullets of my previous post should read:

      • "Per Day" non suicide deaths via firearm: 33.9 (2011), 33.6 (2010)
      • "First Eight Days" of non suicide deaths via firearms: 271.5 (2011), 269.0 (2010)

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