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View Diary: Unrepresentative Democracy − The House of Representatives and the American Vote Not Represented (147 comments)

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  •  True, but (8+ / 0-)

    Because the gerrymanders extend to the the state level, it will be very difficult to take over the legislatures in question before 2022.  There will be progress, because I don't think we'll ever see another year like 2010, but much like the US House, too few seats are competitive to flip the legislatures.  Look at the results in the 2012 state elections.  Despite majorities for statewide candidates, no Republican gerrymandered legislatures were flipped.  Wisconsin is a great example.

    •  That's fatalistic bullshit (0+ / 0-)

      This cycle has been going on forever, the idea that 2010 was some set in stone political moment is just not true.  The gerrymander happens every ten years, things change. Particularly issues and demographics.  By 2020 things will be much different than they are today in many ways that we can't possibly see now.

      There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

      by slothlax on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 12:36:00 AM PST

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      •  You are saying it's possible to have a Democratic (0+ / 0-)

        A Democratic House the next election?  I think it is possible, but the game is loaded to the Republicans.  Democrats would have to win just about every contested seat, they would have to keep the Mathesons and Barrows in office and maybe win a couple of seats that aren't on the radar right now.  All of that to take a narrow majority, against the tide and against nearly unlimited money.  Yes, it could happen with the help of a totally dysfunctional
        GOP, but, to me, it is far more important and doable to take back governor's chairs in purple states and keep them until the next round of redistricting.

        •  That's not the standard you set (0+ / 0-)

          You said it would be hard to win back the legislatures by 2022, that's what I was addressing.  I agree that is where the real battles lie and I think a lot of the states that went red in the wave in 2010, especially the Midwest, will see Democrats creeping out from the cities.  I've seen it happen here in upstate NY as previously Republican Senate seats have gotten more competitive or flipped.  I think you're right, 2014 will be a tough year to flip the House.

          There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

          by slothlax on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 11:38:18 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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