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View Diary: Florida's 201,000 "Missing Votes" -- The Likely Votes That Were Not Cast (41 comments)

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  •  I would bet (8+ / 0-)

    That those missing 200,000 votes would have shaken out a little differently.

    Allen's analysis concludes that the lost voters would have likely favored President Obama with an estimate of 108,000 going to him and 93,000 to Romney. This suggests that Obama's margin of victory over Romney would have been more or less 15,000 votes higher out of the more than 8.4 million votes cast

    Something tells me that Governor Valdemort wasn't a champion of equal-opportunity poll closings.

    "Mediocrity cannot know excellence." -- Sherlock Holmes

    by La Gitane on Wed Jan 23, 2013 at 12:42:34 AM PST

    •  I too thought that the professor's (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      cybersaur, Woody, La Gitane, SilentBrook

      distribution of those votes was too conservative, but I'm sure he wanted to play it safe.  Even with his conservative estimate the results were heavily in Obama's favor.

      Thanks for reading.

      As we express our gratitude, we must never forget that the highest appreciation is not to utter words, but to live by them. John F. Kennedy

      by JaxDem on Wed Jan 23, 2013 at 04:03:15 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  There is no way (4+ / 0-)

        to do what he has done with this level of precision.

        As I wrote above, I think the effect of the change of address rule was far more significant - based on what I saw during early voting and on election day that rule alone might have cost Obama a full percentage point - a much bigger effect than is discussed here.  

        The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

        by fladem on Wed Jan 23, 2013 at 05:48:49 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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