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View Diary: Veteran Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin to retire after the 2014 elections (287 comments)

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  •  He could be a Senator for 6 plus years...but (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NM Ward Chair, cocinero, betelgeux

    there are options.  He could wait for Grassley to retire in 2016 possibly.  Hopefully Christie does run again against King.  That would mean the Vilsack team could be running against him in the house and senate but it is just a thought.

    Again, Braley is probably the number one option and would most likely defeat any R in the race.

    •  King would not be able to . . . (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GayHillbilly, Govinda

      . . . run for Senate and House simultaneously. If he decides to run for Senate, that means he gives up his House seat. Christie Vilsack would therefore be running against a non-incumbent Republican for an open House seat, which actually sounds like a pretty good scenario.

      29, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "We need less of that War on Women, and more of that Warren woman!"-- writer Paul Myers.

      by The Caped Composer on Sat Jan 26, 2013 at 11:04:05 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  The GOP has a lock on IA 04 (0+ / 0-)

      They have a 50,000 vote advantage of registered R v. D. Last year was the best chance to beat Steve King. Christie Vilsack lost by 30,000 votes. I doubt if she will try again. Given all the crazy things King has said, it's hard to imagine anything he could do to that would cause him to lose re-election.

      If King decides to run for Senate, he would probably lose. (Yea!) Whoever emerges from a GOP primary for IA-04 would be the odds-on favorite to win the general.

    •  I think now is the right time for T Vilsack (0+ / 0-)

      I hope he runs. He is the first in line. He has the best polls.

      B Braley can run for Governor, or can wait until 2016. It would be a better year for an open seat in IA-01.

      •  From the last PPP poll for 2014 in Iowa (0+ / 0-)

        T Harkin +5% over T Branstad
        T Vilsack +3% over T Branstad
        T Branstad +2% over C Culver
        T Branstad +4% over B Braley
        T Harkin +9% over T Latham
        T Harkin +11% over S King

        From these numbers I think the US House representatives of both sides are in a very close level with T Vilsack and T Branstad making a difference for both sides, with advantage for T Vilsack over T Branstad.

        I think it would be smart to take profit from the advantage of T Vilsack. He would have likely as easy bid as T Harkin, because I doubt a lot that T Branstad or T Latham would risk all in a race vs T Vilsack. I think they would wait to the retirement of C Grassley if T Vilsack runs.

        •  Question. (0+ / 0-)

          Has Branstad ever expressed interest in running for anything besides re-election to Governor, or is including him speculation?

          If you listen to fools, the Mob Rules

          by CO Democrat on Mon Jan 28, 2013 at 05:05:39 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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