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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/5 (380 comments)

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  •  It wasn't just that (8+ / 0-)

    She only won Clark County by 9% while Obama was easily carrying it by 14. Had she just done slightly better at retaining his voters there she would have won, regardless of her poor performance up north. As someone who had been a long time officeholder in the most populous part of the state, she should have been able to do better than she did there (though without seeing precinct data I don't know if she excelled in her old district or not).

    The question though in determining whether Berkeley was "awful" in retrospect, is could Ross Miller or Catherine Cortez Masto have won? It seems pretty clear to me that they would have, but it seems that Miller has his sights on succeeding Sandoval when he's termed out and I have no idea what Cortez Masto is waiting for.

    •  Speaking of the two of them (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bumiputera, MichaelNY

      have you heard anything on the ground about what Miller and Cortez Masto will do this cycle since they're term limited in their current positions?

    •  That's actually the same margin... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      That Harry Reid won Clark by in 1998 in his epic race against John Ensign. The difference there was that Reid only lost Washoe by about 5%. So Shelley was in the range (in Clark) needed by Dems to win statewide.

      Still, you can argue she could have maxed out her Clark numbers a little more. It didn't help that OFA didn't always prod their GOTV volunteers to push for Shelley along with Obama. And perhaps Shelley didn't explain enough how she would have helped further Obama's agenda.

      All we know for sure is that Shelley did what Catherine & Ross refused to do. She ran against "The Anointed One", and she only barely missed. In regards to Catherine's and Ross' respective political futures, one may very well run for Senate in 2018 while the other runs for Governor. In the mean time, they'll probably play musical chairs with the other statewide Constitutional Officers next year to bide their time.

      •  Can you explain more about the OFA side? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, The Caped Composer

        Here in Wisconsin, OFA and DPW were joined at the hip (at least by mid-September) and both Obama and Baldwin were ID'ed at every door and phone call.
        Additionally whenever there was a big name (Obama, Biden, Clinton), Tammy was also there.

        Social Democrat, WI-05

        by glame on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 04:48:00 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  How Shelley Got The Nod (3+ / 0-)

        Let's be accurate when we describe the history of the race, atdnext. I know you're a fan of hers, but it's not accurate to describe Berkley's candidacy in the way you have.

        Shelley jumped in pretty darn early, with the full backing of the state party and Reid and the whole shebang. It wasn't like Nevada Democrats were casting about for a candidate, or the entire Democratic bench was quivering with fear of Dean Heller, and they were about to run "None of the Above" and hope for the best. This wasn't the case--Shelley jumped in early and scared off any/all major competitors. Which is fine. Contested primaries are only rarely a positive for the candidates involved in them.

        But Shelley wasn't doing anyone a solid by jumping in the race--in hindsight, of course, a statewide candidate might've been better. The bottom line is that Shelley was running because she wanted to run. She was an A-List candidate (at least on paper) and she earned the right to make a race of it, but she didn't do it to benefit the Democratic Party. She did to benefit the political career of Shelley Berkley.

        I will just emphasize once again that I respect and admire her, and have nothing against her, and wish she won. I just take issue with the fact that she wasn't a white knight riding to the rescue of Nevada Democrats, and want to point out that she was (more or less) handed the nomination on a silver platter.

        Kansan by birth, Californian by choice and Gay by the Grace of God.

        by arealmc on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 06:23:10 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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