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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/5 (380 comments)

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  •  Well the senate yes (6+ / 0-)

    The GOP needs to gain 3 seats crawl back into 1/3 postition. Right now I can't see them gaining anymore than 1 seat for the 2014 cycle. So they'd have to wait for 2016 and even then the map won't look that rosy. They'd have to start winning seats where Democrats sport good registration numbers

    The Assembly is a different story depending on how things go the GOP could win the 2 seats and get out of the superminority status. But at the same time the Dems could expand their margins. It really could come down to turnout.

    Potential Dem targets:
    AD-76 - Rocky J. Chavez (R), Obama 49.9%, Brown 43.0%
    We didn't even bother fielding a candidate here.

    AD-77 - Brian Maienschein (R), Margin of victory: 60.1%-39.9%, Obama 49.2%, Brown 41.3%
    Dems didn't contest this seat either.

    AD-60 - Eric Linder (R), Margin of victory: 51.8%-48.2%, Obama 52.6%, Brown 47.6%

    AD-44 - Jeff Gorell (R), Margin of victory: 52.9%-47.1%, Obama 53.5%, Brown 47.3%

    AD-40 - Mike Morrell (R), Margin of victory: 50.4%-49.6%, Obama 54.3%, Brown 50.5%

    Potential GOP targets:
    AD-36 - Steve Fox (D), Margin of victory: 50.1%-49.9%, Obama 50.2%, Brown 45.3%

    AD-65 - Sharon Quirk-Silva (D), Margin of victory: 52.0%-48.0%, Obama 53.2%, Brown 45.5%

    AD-32 - Rudy Salas (D), Margin of victory: 52.9%-47.1%, Obama 57.3%, Brown 54.4%

    AD-8 - Ken Cooley (D), Margin of victory: 54.3%-45.7%, Obama 53.1%, Brown 53.8%

    (Hat tip RRH:Left Coast Libertarian: for the numbers)

    In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

    by lordpet8 on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 02:23:06 PM PST

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