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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/5 (380 comments)

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  •  He'll win those suburbs (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    His margin might be somewhat reduced against a strong candidate, which could be enough to lose the state, but no Democrat wins those suburbs.

    •  A Democrat could defenitely win Cobb and (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, MichaelNY

      Gwinett but you're right that any Dem would get skunked by any Republican in the white suburban counties.

      26, originally OK-1, currently NY-10. Former swingnut.

      by okiedem on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 08:02:33 PM PST

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    •  We need to know the baselines. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wwmiv, MichaelNY

      Obama got 44.56% of the vote in Gwinnett County last November (a 0.2% and 3000 vote improvement from 2008) to Romney's 53.76%.  Compare that to Gore and Kerry, who lost to Bush in Gwinett County by over 30%.  That's even more stark in its shift than Cobb County, which was won by Romney by 12.5% compared to the over 20% Bush won it by by both times.  There's also the smaller, but decently populated Henry County just to the south of Atlanta.  It's rapidly gaining in AA population (went from 15% AA in 2000 to 36% AA in 2010).  In 2000 and 2004, Bush got 66% here.  In 2008 Obama got 46% and he got 48% in 2012.  

      "Each player must accept the cards life deals him or her: but once they are in hand, he or she alone must decide how to play the cards in order to win the game." -Voltaire

      by KingofSpades on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 08:12:35 PM PST

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    •  A reduced margin would go a long way (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, MichaelNY

      That said, if Broun goes over the top enough, he could lose Cobb and Gwinnett, as well as North Fulton and North DeKalb.

      26, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 08:29:04 PM PST

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