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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/5 (380 comments)

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  •  Isn't it possible (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Skaje, LordMike

    That it is both? The healthcare bill backlash nationalized the election, so dems took an across the board cut, but dems that voted for it took an extra penalty?

    23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

    by wwmiv on Wed Feb 06, 2013 at 12:50:21 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  That is quite possible (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, MichaelNY

      But Dems from blue districts that voted for it should not take any penalty.  In fact, voting for it was probably a benefit to an incumbent in such districts.  And as we know most of the votes in favor came from blue districts, so already we are throwing out most of the data points, increasing error in any analysis of a "vote penalty" in the remaining races.

      I'm sure there's some conclusions that could be drawn, but I'm just hesitant to believe someone can slap on a specific number and say that's the penalty for voting for a bill.  At the very least, penalty would have to be a function of PVI, with drastically different results depending on it (if Mike Ross had voted for it he may very well have taken a huge penalty...less certain about Larry Kissell in his old seat)  Like I said, apples to apples comparisons are hard here.

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