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View Diary: Looking at the Senate picture in 2014 ... and 2016 (160 comments)

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  •  2016 strikes me as much, much better (7+ / 0-)

    a Presidential year in which

    a) none of our incumbents are likely to be in danger.

    b) IL, WI, and NH are very likely pick-ups

    c) FL and PA are very possible pick-ups

    d) OH, IA, KY, AZ strike me as possible pick-ups

    e) NC, GA, SC, ND, SD, AK, and MO aren't out of the realm of possibility as pick-ups

    If we can hold ground in 2014 or only lose a seat or two then reaching 60 in 2016 is a very real possibility

    "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

    by Andrew C White on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 08:55:27 AM PST

    •  I can believe IL and WI being likely (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      charliehall2

      pickups, but NH?  Is Ayotte really that weak? I can't see her losing in '16 unless Lynch runs.

      "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

      by TLS66 on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 09:47:11 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Perhaps I'm overly optimistic (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        VirginiaBlue, JBraden, betelgeux

        but I think New Hampshire is pretty much done with Republicans for awhile and in a Presidential year I think Ayotte is in trouble. Not because of her so much as because of NH's trend combined with Presidential turn-out. That is of course, assuming a strong Democratic candidate running against her.

        "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

        by Andrew C White on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 10:49:36 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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