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View Diary: Looking at the Senate picture in 2014 ... and 2016 (160 comments)

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  •  Don't sleep on MN (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    charliehall2

    Al Franken is hated by the GOP and he was in an incredibly close election (went to a recount and dragged on for months).  While he won he also had the Obama voters helping him.  If Dem votes are down in an off year, he could easily lose.  The scuttlebutt is that MN Rep Paulsen, who represents some of the richest areas in MN, will run against him.  He's not a moderate but he's been a big name in MN politics for years

    •  franken's not going to lose (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Sandy on Signal, JBraden, betelgeux

      just so you know

    •  you forget that the MN GOP wasted nearly (0+ / 0-)

      all its funds fighting for recount for the 2010 Gov race, the state party is still rather broke and so far I don't think they really have anyone has decided to run against him.

      Paulsen is on the fence he keeps saying I'm not running or I haven't decided yet

      In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

      by lordpet8 on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 12:20:57 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  the knock on Franken (0+ / 0-)

      was that he wasn't qualified and/or didn't have the pedigree to be a senator.  How do you make that argument against an incumbent?  That alone plus the normal benefits of incumbency would suggest to me that he is closer to a 10 point favorite than a toss up.

    •  The (0+ / 0-)

      Minnesota GOP has imploded. If someone were to write a script to destroy the Republican party in Minnesota they could not have come up with anything much better than what has actually happened.

      Ron Paul disciples came in and took over the caucuses and got Mr. Bills (that is his real name) nominated for the senate challenge to Klobuchar, and he got crushed.

      Kravvick got blasted out of Oberstar's old seat, Obama crushed Romney, and both houses flipped Blue. Michele "batshit crazy" Bachmann got millions in out of state money and managed to just barely hold on.

      Meanwhile....

      Senate Majority leader Amy Koch was banging her chief of staff, former internet gadfly Michael Brodkorb. When the news broke she was forced to resign her post (though she did fill out her term). Brodkorb was fired, and promptly sued for wrongful termination. The Senate has run up more than $100,000 in legal bills, and the people are not happy. And Brodkorb was just in a serious alcohol related traffic accident.

      And....

      The state GOP was caught cooking the books. They created fake companies to illegally channel money to fund the election recount challenge to Dayton's gubernatorial win. And they owe tens of thousands more to the feds for missed FEC filings and improper audit reports, and are more than a million in the hole besides. And people don't want to give them anymore money because they got damn near nothing done in the last two years. And they picked "Enron" Pat Shortridge as their new head. He was Enron's man inside Dick Cheney's secret energy meetings.

      Right now the Minnesota GOP stink on ice. The people hate them for their over reach, arrogance, and phony values. Most of their rising stars flamed out in the last couple of years. Their bench from which to choose Franken's challenger is really thin. In fact there is no front runner.

      So Franken is sitting OK, but he is so hated by the GOP as a whole (especially at the national level) that who ever he faces will have tens of millions to fight with.

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