Skip to main content

View Diary: Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu starts off the 2014 campaign in unexpectedly good shape (90 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Reid is the only seat to worry about for 2016 (0+ / 0-)

    Nevada and Colorado are the only states where we have seats up that aren't totally reliably blue at the Presidential level. Everything else is on one coast or the other and reliably blue. We'll win NV and CO for President, but both are states where we could conceivably lose a Senate seat at the same time, as 2012 demonstrated in NV. I'm not worried about CO. Bennett will be well-established by that point and there's nothing about him that shouldn't make him improve with age. He had the tenacity to hold on in 2010 against a weak opponent and his only real flaw then was that he'd just been appointed. Reid, on the other hand, is never going to be personally popular, and is probably not going to get to run against Sharron Angle again. There's a good chance he can win in a Presidential year, but I think it will be a dogfight. And there's always the possibility that he retires, even though I can't picture it. And our bench in Nevada is not as strong as it should be, especially with the various geographic divides in the state.

    •  See above. (0+ / 0-)

      It's more complicated than you think. Sure, Republicans here have succeeded in dragging down Harry Reid's favorables (ever since he became Democratic Leader). But again, the most powerful interests in this state do NOT want to lose the Senate Majority Leader!

      Last year, the "gaming-mining-lobbying industrial complex" overall didn't lean too strongly either way. But up in Reno, they were quite united behind Dean Heller because he's "one of them". Either way, the Senator would be a bottom-of-the-totem-pole freshman with minimal juice.

      But with Reid, the GML has a "Juice Master" who can deliver the goods from DC. And on top of that, he has the President on speed dial! GML power players in Vegas and Reno don't want to lose that. And if Reid looks anywhere near as vulnerable in 2016 as he did in 2010, they will circle their wagons around him (again).

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site