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View Diary: Political Geography of the States: Part 1, the West (44 comments)

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  •  So lonely people vote republican? (0+ / 0-)

    Not to oversimplify this amazing job of demographic analysis and wonderfully researched diary. But - is it just me, or can you pretty much predict republican voting based on population sparsity?

    •  Not necessarily (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, Chachy, jncca

      While yes it's true that rural voters tend to vote fairly strongly Republican as a whole, keep in mind that even states like Montana, Idaho, and Utah are fairly urban. Their rural areas, while geographically very large, have very few people in them while their cities make up a huge proportion of the population yet are fairly compact.

      In contrast you have states like Maine and Vermont that are fairly rural or small-town yet vote pretty heavily Democratic, then you have states like West Virginia which are relatively rural or small town and vote heavily Republican presidentially, but heavily Democratic downballot, so it definitely varies from state to state.

      •  The ten least urban states (0+ / 0-)

        By my count:

        Vermont--solid blue
        West Virginia--solid red federally, light blue locally
        Wyoming--solid red
        North Dakota--red, but has Heitkamp
        Montana--red federally, purple locally
        Maine--light blue federally but will go for Rs
        South Dakota--red, but has Johnson
        Mississippi--solid red
        Kentucky--red federally, purple locally
        Iowa--purple

        20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
        politicohen.com
        Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
        UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

        by jncca on Fri Feb 15, 2013 at 11:08:17 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Your list is a bit off according to the census; (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Stephen Wolf

          Here's the list:

          1. Vermont
          2. Wyoming
          3. Maine
          4. Montana
          5. Mississippi
          6. South Dakota
          7. West Virginia
          8. Arkansas
          9. North Dakota
          10. Kentucky

          Personally, I was a bit surprised to learn that South Dakota's population is less urban than North Dakota's, but there we go!

          Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 26 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

          by NMLib on Sat Feb 16, 2013 at 01:19:12 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I mapped it out on DRA myself (0+ / 0-)

            The census and I use different criteria, but I think mine is more accurate.  I consider everything metro area under 75,000 people rural, because although many of those people live "in town," it's a very rural/small town feel.

            20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
            politicohen.com
            Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
            UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

            by jncca on Sat Feb 16, 2013 at 06:42:39 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

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