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View Diary: Are we blundering into a war with North Korea? (143 comments)

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  •  I do not think the US is angling for a war (11+ / 0-)

    The risk is that the parties concerned could stumble into one, so Mood is correct in stating it is time to cool-down the rhetoric.

    However, it must be recognized the DPRK is an unreliable actor and the possibility of a conflict cannot be ruled out, so I would not expect the US to pull back military resources at this point.

    Personally, it seems to me this is more bluster, so I think the US should avoid taking the bait and over-reacting, choosing its words more carefully, but it's not going to pull back as long as Kim continues to make belligerent threats.

    What about my Daughter's future?

    by koNko on Tue Apr 02, 2013 at 05:55:51 PM PDT

    •  I feel better that Mitt is not POTUS (7+ / 0-)

      otherwise I could see some sort of military action by the US, such as taking back some of the islands that the Koreas dispute

    •  If NK repeats either of their acts of 2010 (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      this time around, it's starting. That's my biggest fear because NK may think they can get away with it again.

      No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.

      by Magster on Tue Apr 02, 2013 at 09:20:26 PM PDT

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    •  north korea's not that unreliable (0+ / 0-)

      for all their bluster, they have limited themselves to symbolic acts of provocation, and haven't actually launched any serious attack in a half century. the trick is to watch the deeds, not the words.

      the thing i wish i had reporting on is how the factions within the north korean regime and its military (insomuch as those are separate things) are pushing for different actions, internally. people assume north korea is a monolith, but they said that about china in the maoist years too.

      it will be interesting to see if china is able to influence important elements of the regime, and what xi does if the north koreans tell them to fuck off. it would be a huge shift for china to align with south korea and japan here.

      •  "Symbolic"? (0+ / 0-)

        The dead people might argue about that if they could.

        Freedom isn't free. Patriots pay taxes.

        by Dogs are fuzzy on Tue Apr 02, 2013 at 11:31:08 PM PDT

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      •  Kim is pissing off China (0+ / 0-)

        Really, the DPRK has become China's "bad penny". Xi seems to be ignoring it and letting the Foreign Ministry handle things although I'm sure he's engaged at a high level.

        Kim II was reliable in the sense he predictably used brinkmanship as a negotiating tactic, but would always reign it in once (a) he got what he wanted, or (b) China cut the power for a few days.

        Li'll Kim is, so far, pretty unreliable in the sense that: (a) seriously miscalculating what he has to negotiate with at this point, which is essentially zero; (b) over-plays his hand at every turn; (c) mistakes the ROTW for his own people; (d) keeps poking China, his only real retainer, in the eyes, and; (e) is, apparently, completely tone deff to both Russian and Chinese signals to reign it in.

        I conclude he is way over his head, and that is dangerous.

        The risk is he is so clueless and accident prone, something bad happens.

        However, in real terms, the nuclear threats are empty and can be ignored; what needs careful attention is the borders to ROK and China, where accidents could happen.

        I'm betting someone is going to shut his mouth soon and this will blow over, but it's not guaranteed.

        Dude is like a pudgy Michael Jackson, but maximum leader of a basket case country. Sad.

        What about my Daughter's future?

        by koNko on Sat Apr 06, 2013 at 11:05:01 AM PDT

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