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View Diary: New Poll: Marriage Equality Support State-by-State (30 comments)

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  •  Not to be excessively pedantic here, (4+ / 0-)

    because Maryland's 52% vote was an excellent and necessary outcome ... but do you see a voter population as a larger or smaller set of those who might be typically polled to assess the state of broader public opinion?

    I would argue it is smaller because all members of a political community are not equally registered to vote, nor do they participate in voting in equal numbers -- some more than average, some less.  And each of the various voter/non-voter sub-groups (younger, African American, Latino, women, etc., for example) would be expected to have different splits of opinions on the marital equality issue.

    As a simple voting matter, 52% clearly wins the day ... but it may or may not accurately reflect broader public opinion.  In the Maryland case, though, the MOE range in the Poll would include the effective voting outcome, even though I would highly doubt there was any form of voter screen employed in the polling methodology.

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