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View Diary: The 'Hoax' (139 comments)

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  •  Yes, I might have been slightly off (0+ / 0-)

    I was basing the turnaround on the Bakken:

    Rail also offers flexibility and speed. Rail can carry oil from the Bakken region to the Gulf Coast in five days,
    to be conservative, let's add 3 days to get to northern Alberta.

    And bring in this information:

    The State Department report on the Keystone XL proposal said there are 48,000 rail cars on backorder in North America.
    The State Department said that Lloydminster offers access to the two biggest Canadian railroads, Canadian Pacific and Canadian National, and a terminal could load about 13 100-car unit trains a day, more than the capacity of the Keystone XL. Each rail car carries 500 to 700 barrels of crude, with heavy crude at the low end of that range, and the length of a full train is about 1.25 miles.
    Let's say one car can carry 600 bbls (the average of 500 to 700 and it takes 16 days (8 days going, 8 days coming back) to take tarsands oil to the Gulf (again, this is conservative because some will be going to closer locations, like Seattle refineries that will need feedstock as Alaska oil dwindles).

    So, let's divide 600 bbls per 16 days by 16 to get a figure on how many barrels are transported by car per day - that number is 37.5

    Now let's multiple that by the 48,000 rail cars on order (to be delivered within 18 to 24 months) - the number is 1,800,000 bbl/day - or basically the entire current output of the tarsands operation.

    Bottom line - rail can easily scale up to meet any projected production increases.

    Heck, the infrastructure to do so IS ON ORDER - this isn't some pie in the sky scheme - it's something currently underway.

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