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View Diary: What is the Crash Generation? (12 comments)

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  •  Anyone read Strauss & Howe's Fourth Turning? (1+ / 0-)
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    I've always enjoyed their writing regarding generational theory.  So far they've been quite accurate in their predictions for a couple decades now.  The heart of their argument is that society goes through four repeating cycles - High, Awakening, Unraveling and Crisis.  Each cycle lasts for about 20-22 years.  According to their model we are just now emerging from the "Crisis" cycle and entering the "High" cycle, which is essentially an era of strong public institutions and less individualism.  Basically a progressive era.  The theory suggests that we won't see the real societal change until around the year 2020-2022.  

    Things might still look a bit bleak at the moment but I do think we're already seeing cracks in the conservative foundation on social issues, and to a lesser extent economic issues.  The younger generation of today is far more diverse and secular than any generation prior and much more liberal on economic issues than prior generations.  We're already seeing them flex their muscle at the voting booth in 2008 and 2012, and that influence will only grow with time.

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