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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections SC-01 special election liveblog thread #3: Mark Sanford wins (235 comments)

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  •  You don't assume an incumbent will be doomed (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NMLib, Munchkn, Jacques Kallis

    Your kind of thinking in this subthread would guarantee Democrats stay a permanent minority if the DCCC folks shared it.

    You win the seat now, you have one more Democrat in the House for the rest of this Congress.  That's worth something for its own sake.  Then you worry about the next election later, but you don't just assume a scandal-free incumbent in a non-wave year is doomed, because they usually aren't.  We have a recent history of holding seats like this for more than one term, even if sometimes by pure luck.  Chet Edwards was purposely redistricted into oblivion in the early 2000s along with 4 Democratic colleagues in the state, and yet he survived and would go on to survive the decade before finally losing in the 2010 wave.

    People here routinely complain when the DCCC doesn't invest in a district.  You're doing just that above!  But hinsdight is 20-20, the DCCC simply didn't see signs of a Ewing surge, and Larry Kissell was a lazy candidate who looked dead in the water to everyone for a long time in a remapped nightmare of a district even after bucking his party on some votes.

    I won't say the DCCC doesn't make a few mistakes.  With so many races going on, a few are inevitable, probably in every cycle.  But this wasn't one.  And most of the DCCC critics I see on the internet over the years, including many on Daily Kos (although less so DKE) would make far, far, far more mistakes than the DCCC ever does.

    45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue May 07, 2013 at 07:59:56 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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