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View Diary: Republican hack Brad Dayspring disses Republican poll as 'written in crayon' (26 comments)

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  •  7-8 is close to accurate (0+ / 0-)

    or it least that's what it feels like to me on the ground here in MA.

    12 has been seen a couple of times, but not often, which is what makes this an outlier.

    •  How so? (0+ / 0-)

      In June we've had five polls (not counting the McLaughlin fake poll that showed it at 45-44). The margin has been 11, 12, 7, 8, 12 in those polls. In none of them does Gomez top 40 (this one from Harper has him at 37). Markey tops 50 in two and is at 49 in the Harper poll.

      The ones showing 7 and 8 had a lot more undecided (15% vs 8%), but in demographics that strongly favor Markey. They'll either break for Markey or stay home. When it's all said and done, I'd venture the final result is closer to 12 than 7.

      That said, I'm going to work to make it so. I'm signed up for a zillion canvassing shifts between now and June 25 (exaggeration only slight).

      "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

      by fenway49 on Thu Jun 13, 2013 at 01:16:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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