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View Diary: One Wing to Rule Them All: How Conservatives Betrayed the Republican Party (104 comments)

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  •  I see that happening in Maine (9+ / 0-)

    Governor Le Page probably snuck into office because nobody liked either the Democratic candidate Libby Mitchell or the Independent candidate Eliot Cutler but most people voted for one or the other of those choices rather than the Republican LePage.

    Maines coast and urban areas are pretty dependably blue, but in a three way with independents enough of the vote gets siphoned off to be a problem unless the Democratic candidate is a strong contender.

    This year the first "Democratic" candidate to jump in the ring was Steve Woods whose idea of enlightened piolicy would be to take all the infrastructure funding from 108 small rural Maine villages and give it to urban areas on the premise that urban areas create more jobs than rural areas. The people living in the villages could just be relocated he says. Woods has previously run for office as independent or unenrolled.

    The second Democrat District 2's representative Mike Michaud recently formed an exploratory committee. Mike is a pro life member of the Blue Dog coalition who is good on healthcare,  labor, and veterans.

    Despite his being pro life NARAL gave Michaud a 100% rating because of the votes Michaud made in favor of allowing and expanding stem cell research, and his vote against banning abortion from federal health care coverage.

    Mike stands a pretty good chance of winning the primary. He has served seven terms in the Maine Legislature, including two in the Maine House of Representatives and 5 in the Maine Senate where he was President of the senate before becoming District 2 representative to the US Congress.

    As of April of this year The Bangor Daily News claimed

    AUGUSTA, Maine — If independent Eliot Cutler ran for governor as a Democrat in 2014, he would lead incumbent Republican Gov. Paul LePage by almost eight percentage points, according to a poll released Wednesday.
    The Bangor Daily News also opined that
    Mike Michaud, a Democrat who represents Maine’s 2nd District, would fare slightly better than Baldacci, garnering 22.8 percent compared with LePage (33.5 percent) and Cutler (25.6 percent) if those three men competed to be Maine’s next governor. Those finding mirror January Public Policy Polling results that indicate LePage would win a three-person contest.
    Cutlers FB page shows that a lot of people who previously voted for Cutler see him as a spoiler and would vote for Michaud.

    My opinion is that in the general election Mike should win in a three way with Cutler and LePage because of the political skills that made him senate president.

    Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

    by rktect on Mon Jul 08, 2013 at 08:06:00 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I hope you're right. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JerryNA

      61% of Mainers did not vote for LePetomaine.

      My first response to Michaud's exploratoring a bid for Blaine House in the wake of Cutler's announced candidacy was consternation at the prospect of another split-the-non-GOP-vote election result, along with the possibility of a Republican snagging Michaud's 2nd District seat in the House.

      But the evidence does suggest Michaud has a much better shot than my fears allow, and yes, I know an awful lot of people who hold Cutler directly responsible for the last result and would either vote for the Democratic candidate or stay home.  (The thing that would most surely keep those folks at home IMHO would be Baldacci's return.)

      Another possibility would be a change in the election laws (e.g. instant run-off, weighted voting) that would ensure the governor would be elected by a majority of Mainers, by either a first or second choice vote.

      But I'm not sure how that would fly with Mainers -- a lot would depend on how any proposed change to the system is designed and explained to voters.

    •  One quibble to a very well-written comment: (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Kombema

      They're provably not "pro-life", not the way they cut SNAP and health funding.  Don't use their own propaganda terminology.  They're forced birth.  

      •  Michaud is pro SNAP and Health (0+ / 0-)

        and has 100% rating from NARAL.

        As for Cutler I know some of the State Committee and the County Executive committees have been discussing whether to offer him some support if he changes his mind and decides to run against Collins instead of LePage.

        Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

        by rktect on Mon Jul 08, 2013 at 01:43:41 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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