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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/18 (335 comments)

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  •  His new district took in some (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext

    areas that are poor and/or minority-heavy, and I wonder if that helped boost our side's numbers almost by default. That, and President Obama being on the ticket with Romney all but ignoring New York. I mean, his opponent, Vivianne Falcone, had no money, so it's not as if that made a difference.

    If nothing else, the fact that he's still new to the district might make it easier than it would be in 2014, but what about the new, seemingly Democratic friendly areas? Turnout in a mid term can suffer, as you know, but does it have to?

    "The polls are meaningless, riddled with biases, inaccuracies, and an unrealistic electorate. The only poll that matters is the one on election day..."--said by any number of candidates down in the polls

    by bjssp on Thu Jul 18, 2013 at 08:17:23 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I assume Gov. Cuomo will be... (0+ / 0-)

      Running for reelection. I know his numbers are no longer as stratospheric now as they were last year, but are they so bad as to suggest he'll significantly underperform Obama? When I've checked Long Island in DRA, I've noticed the Democratic Average tends to be slightly higher than Obama 2008 in most areas.

      •  I don't think Cuomo's numbers (0+ / 0-)

        are really all that bad. TPM is telling me Quinnipiac has his approval at 53 percent, a solid number, but his disapproval at only 30 percent.  If he underperforms Obama, it's most likely because he stomped Palladino in 2010. Then again, he could easily do the same. Who is going to run against him?

        "The polls are meaningless, riddled with biases, inaccuracies, and an unrealistic electorate. The only poll that matters is the one on election day..."--said by any number of candidates down in the polls

        by bjssp on Thu Jul 18, 2013 at 10:19:16 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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