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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/18 (335 comments)

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  •  Surprisingly it didn't happen in IN (5+ / 0-)

    Obama went from 63% to 46% among youth. Donnelly only got 49%, although Mourdock underperformed by Romney by 8 points. Obama actually improved in IN among 30-44 year olds. He stayed steady nationwide among that  age group (I suspect because people who came of age during W. replaced people who came of age during Reagan). But Mourdock may have played a  bit of  a role with that group since he only received 39% of their vote.

    Overall, Mourdock was not as influential up-ballot because he  wasn't as much of a national embarrassment. For youth in particular, I would imagine Akin's comments were shared much more on social media than Mourdock, and therefore had  more of an effect.

    •  Yes, I was looking at exit polls recently (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lordpet8

      And out of the 18-29 age group Obama won almost every state thaat had exit polls.  Granted, a lot of smaller uncompetitive states were not polled.  The young in Indiana swung hard right.  Obama performed better with young voters in some of deep south states than he did in Indiana.  

      •  Is it that (0+ / 0-)

        their side showed up and ours didn't? (I could have sworn I made an earlier post proposing that idea, but oh well...) OFA didn't contest Indiana in 2012, and I could imagine that this hurt specifically with the group where they are usually strong.

        "The polls are meaningless, riddled with biases, inaccuracies, and an unrealistic electorate. The only poll that matters is the one on election day..."--said by any number of candidates down in the polls

        by bjssp on Thu Jul 18, 2013 at 10:43:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Something else I noticed in 2012 exit polls - AZ (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lordpet8

          The 18-29 age group in Arizona swung 14 points in Obama's favor in 2012 vs. 2008 while the 65+ group swung 11 points towards Romney.  Looking at the numbers I'm pretty sure the 18-29 swing was fueled by the young Latino voters.  I'm not getting the 65+ swing towards Romney.  I would have thought McCain would appeal to seniors at least as well as Romney.

        •  Kinda interesting for Indiana... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lordpet8

          For those who voters who decided before September, about 66% of the state, Romney and Obama were pretty much deadlocked. Romney ran away with late deciders.

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