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View Diary: Is Nate Silver correct? (37 comments)

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  •  Nate Silver says that in his post, and (1+ / 0-)
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    MRA NY

    has said that a million times. The models use current and historical data to estimate probabilities and expected error. He can measure exactly how well data 2 years before an election has performed as a predictive tool. And he can apply those lessons to current data in order to say some statistical things about the coming election. This is valuable information even if it does't "tell us" who is going to win.

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