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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/6 (288 comments)

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  •  VA-GOV question: Are there any potential 2017 (1+ / 0-)
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    jj32

    Democratic candidates for governor? I know it's kind of early to start thinking about that, but since McAuliffe gets only one term and got no opposition this time around in the primary anyway, I'm just curious to know if there could be any good contenders for the next time around, assuming Virgina continues its left-ward march.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 06:33:41 PM PDT

    •  Depends on the A.G. race (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gygaxian, jj32

      Whoever wins the A.G. race is a lock to be the frontrunner for his party's Gov nod in '17.  I would put a thumb on the scale for Herring right now based on downballot drag from Cuccinelli.  Herring will be the consensus favorite in '17 and could very well clear the field, given the weak state legislature presence we have.  I don't know of any rising stars in county or city offices, either, who could make the jump to Gov.

      If Herring loses this fall, then Obenshain is the GOP frontrunner but not necessarily unchallenged.  The GOP has more downballot than we do in the state legislature and in Congress, so anyone ambitious to make a move could consider a serious challenge.  On our side, the picture is murkier, again because the right-wing shift in the 90s combined with gerrymandering and the natural self-packing of our voters has left us with a limited bench.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 07:45:10 PM PDT

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      •  Ralph Northam? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Gygaxian, jj32

        He is certain to be elected LG, which means that if Herring loses, he's likely the D candidate in 2017 (although the base will challenge him).

        Alternatively, 2017 might be the return of Mark Warner.

        •  Usually in VA (0+ / 0-)

          the LG or AG have first dibs on the gubernatorial nomination; if both are of the same party then one or the other tends to step aside.  Most often the AG has the stronger chance to be elected governor as there's more of a chance to make an impact in that office; for the R's, Bill Bolling stood down twice, to his ultimate regret (and likely that of many others in the party.)

          So if Herring wins this year I think he'll be seen as Dem frontrunner, provided that he wants to.  If Northam and Obenshain win, then that would appear at first to be the likeliest pairing.  However, if that's the case and what DCCyclone has said is true, then Northam should seriously step up his campaign skills over the next four years.  Northam's campaign appears to be coasting without much visibility, which he can probably get away with this time simply by not being EW Jackson, but against Obenshain or someone else better qualified or less inflammatory that won't work.

          37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

          by Mike in MD on Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 09:41:51 PM PDT

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        •  No (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          Northam is a terrible candidate, another Creigh Deeds.  He is the luckiest s.o.b. imaginable, winning the primary despite a bad campaign and now having the office handed to him thanks to the state GOP having picked a clown candidate.

          He won't be so lucky in a Governor's race, and people here know that.

          There will be contested primary if Herring isn't the sitting A.G. entering 2017, or if Mark Warner doesn't decide to run for another term as Governor which I now doubt he'll ever do but it's still possible.

          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Sat Sep 07, 2013 at 06:48:52 PM PDT

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