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View Diary: Syrian Government to Propose Ceasefire (142 comments)

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  •  Syria has no more grain reserves. Fuel and (8+ / 0-)

    medicine are scarce.

    Winter is not far away, and there were essentially no crops this year.

    Without a ceasefire and aid, a hell of a lot of civilians will die.  If there's no country left to rule, then what's the point?

    That doesn't mean Government forces aren't making battlefield gains.

    "But the traitors will pretend / that it's gettin' near the end / when it's beginning" P. Ochs

    by JesseCW on Thu Sep 19, 2013 at 03:17:28 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I want a ceasefire (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JesseCW, truong son traveler

      I just don't know if it will hold, or do much good in terms of the humanitarian crisis. InAntayla had a diary last week (IIRC) that listed the various rebel groups - dozens of them.

      Even if Assad is sincere, there is no single entity or committee that can speak for the opposition.

      He may be able to get a tenuous peace for 50% of the country. That would be much better than nothing, because as you point out, farming in Syria is not a winning proposition this year.

      The aid workers need to be prepared for refugees from areas where the ceasefire doesn't hold. They also need to be prepared for a Somalia-type situation, where food aid was used as a weapon; blocking aid deliveries to the territory of your rivals was par for the course.

      I'm on a mission! Testing the new site rules.

      by blue aardvark on Thu Sep 19, 2013 at 03:45:50 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  There were essentially no crops when the conflict (5+ / 0-)

      started. The Assad regime had to import most of the food due to drought. There were also fuel shortages and high prices at that time.

      Now it must be even worse.

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