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View Diary: CBS News: Darrell Issa Blows Up at Reporter Over Looming Government Shutdown (Video) (80 comments)

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    sharman

    They're most likely scared of Issa's money advantage. As a gazillionaire, he could bury any serious challenger in ads if he felt threatened. But we need someone who recognizes that ads do NOT, under ANY circumstance, beat a good ground game. That calls for someone who's quite politically savvy, someone who's been in politics for a while.

    I wish I knew alternatives. I'm not even sure if you have to be a resident of a district in order to run for Congress there. If not, well, there's a litany of Dems who could take on Issa. Hell, it's a jungle primary system, so as long as we don't have a clown car kind of race, Issa should still be in for the fight of his life in 2014 or 2016 - particularly if these years turn out to be the Democratic wave years that I predict they will.

    •  There was a good ground game in 2012 (2+ / 0-)

      When I was covering the CA-49 race from September 2012  - November 2012, I remember a Kossack mentioned on one of my diaries that there were Tetalman for Congress campaign yard signs all over Carlsbad, one of the most notable cities on the coast in CA-49.  All Tetalman really did was focus on the ground game and fire up the base.  If anything, he did just that but he failed to get more than say 2% of the Independents.  Had he had a larger operation, it's possible those voting percentages would have risen up at least a few percentage points more (a conservative guess).  Tetalman did get over 110,000 votes though, which isn't bad for a Issa challenger.

      However, Issa's money advantage really shouldn't deter any Democratic challenger:

      1)  Issa never really campaigned at all or really had a campaign in 2012.  He just went to Congress, had occasional fundraisers or appearances and got re-elected.

      2)  Richard Pombo was a Republican Congressman who represented the same distinct that Rep. Jerry Mcnerney now represents.  Pombo had a large war chest but he was eventually toppled by Mcnerney in 2006.  Since then, Mcnerney has won re-election three times and even survived the horrible, toxic campaign season of 2010 when the Tea Party had whipped the Democrats hard.

      3)  Because California is becoming bluer and bluer every year, unfortunately Issa will also be dealing with a changing demographic, which means his district will eventually become (may even start becoming right now) a more swing district say by 2016 or 2018).  

      I'll put it this way, if Issa didn't have his wealth or campaign war chest or if he retired, CA-49 would be a prime pickup for the Democratic Party.

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