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View Diary: An Alternate Analysis of Virginia's Election Results (77 comments)

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  •  Same data, opposite take (3+ / 0-)
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    Diana in NoVa, Phoenix Woman, wdrath

    I found your analysis fascinating, because we both see the same data set, yet we are drawing opposite conclusions from it.  

    The way I see it, we have Virginia, a reliably red state up until a few years ago, now distinctly purple.  In an off-off-year election, with a carpetbagger, shady candidate that almost no one actually likes, with the last-minute  disenfranchisement, in a year when turnout was up among all of the R-friendly demographics (whites, men, married women, elderly) and down among all of the D-friendly ones (Latinos, Asians, single women, the 18-29s... everyone except the AAs)... the D Team still won.

    If the Rs had even a moderatly centrist or likeable candidate, or if this was just a few years ago, Kook would have had an easy win.  

    This shows the Rs, once again, that the times are a-changin', and even in an election where almost everything was in their favor, they still lost big.  

    I grant you that a few more points of D turnout would have flipped some of those assembly seats, and I agree with your basic message- Ds need to get out and vote, and not take anything for granted.  But don't be blinded by the not-gaudy numbers.  This was a crushing defeat for the GOP and will probably only intensify their internal war.  

    Odds and ends about life in Japan: 1971wolfie.wordpress.com

    by Hatrax on Wed Nov 06, 2013 at 03:20:24 PM PST

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