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View Diary: How can progressives gain influence? Throw everything we've got behind David Alvarez in San Diego (121 comments)

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  •  The Dems you mentioned will come home (11+ / 0-)

    given that it sounds like they want to elect a Dem. I know it's uphill, but the numbers are on our side, if Alvarez runs a good race and has enough resources to get his message out.

    You're on the ground in SD, so maybe there is a Kos group you can hook up with (or lead?) to help Alvarez out?

    •  They will, although the negative campaigning (6+ / 0-)

      turned off some Fletcher supporters, and they might be harder to win over. However, Faulconer supporters did plenty of negative campaigning themselves, so I'm not sure why they would prefer him over Alvarez.

      Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

      by AaronInSanDiego on Sun Nov 24, 2013 at 08:20:56 AM PST

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      •  how rightwinger is Faulconer? (4+ / 0-)

        That may be the key here: will he be flexible enough to tack to the center to attract moderates and conservadems? Of course, the attack ads against Alvarez will be brutal.

        "Tell the truth and run." -- Yugoslav proverb

        by quill on Sun Nov 24, 2013 at 08:49:05 AM PST

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        •  He has been campaigning as a moderate (5+ / 0-)

          and has already attracted quite a bit of independent and Democratic support. "Fiscal responsibility" seems to be his main issue, which has a lot of crossover appeal.

          Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

          by AaronInSanDiego on Sun Nov 24, 2013 at 08:57:49 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Beware of Republicans that (7+ / 0-)

            campaign as a "moderate".  Tom Corbett, Pennsylvania governor, campaigned as a "moderate".  His TV ads showed a kind, gentle and reasonable person.  Pennsylvanians elected him governor and he is the worst governor ever.  As soon as he was sworn into office, he ripped off his sheep costume and became a champion of ALEC.  He moved PA to number 47th in job creation.  Corbett is destroying PA and is now the least popular governor in the nation.

            For Alverez to win, he must show his opponent's true intentions without sounding cruel.  Follow Faulconer's money.  Organize block parties or events in neighborhoods where Faulconer might be more popular.  Do like Obama did.  Go to the opponent's territory.  As a Republican, Faulconer won't go into the poorer neighborhoods.  Alverez may need to buy replacement shoes as successful campaigning requires a lot of walking about neighborhoods.  Another point, people are more likely to vote for someone that shakes their hand.

      •  Issue is getting Fletcher voters to vote in runoff (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Ian Reifowitz

        The challenge for Alvarez isn't the possibility that Fletcher supporters will vote for Faulconer, it's the possibility that Fletcher supporters will just skip the runoff.  

        Given all the votes Faulconer has in his pocket from the Round 1 tally, and the fact that GOTV will likely be more of a challenge on the Dem side in a February runoff, if turnout is low and a huge chunk of Fletcher voters don't vote in February, Alvarez won't win.

        The Labor Council will have to ante up another high six figures, at least, for February GOTV, in order for Alvarez to pull off the upset.

        Alvarez being "too liberal" really isn't an issue here, even though the U-T will probably say that every time they print Alvarez' name between now and the runoff. (Either that, or the U-T wingnuts will make sure they call him "Filner's closest ally" in every article.)

        Three real issues, which are interrelated, are

        1) GOTV.

        2) Convincing voters that Alvarez, a 33-year-old first-term city councilman, is not too inexperienced to be mayor of a large city.  His official biography doesn't mention how old he is, when he was born, or what year he graduated from college. To convince voters that he has enough gravitas to be mayor, he will need to take on this issue directly.

        3) Convincing donors and reluctant voters that Alvarez can actually win and is worth the money to donate and the time to vote.

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