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View Diary: What if legislators didn't have to draw majority-minority districts? Democrats would lose big (71 comments)

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  •  I do wonder how the VRA deep south states (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stephen Wolf, Jyrki, Odysseus, Taget

    would look if they were drawn under fair COI only considerations. Probably could not do any better than the lines with the VRA but it's moot since the Republicans have control of all of these states anyway.

    D in FL at the SSP.

    by Avedee on Sun Mar 09, 2014 at 02:14:04 PM PDT

    •  Haven't tried drawing all that out (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, David Jarman, Jyrki, Taget

      but I think if you compared a non-partisan VRA map to a non-partisan non-VRA map, Democrats would have beaten Mark Sanford, but that's really a special case in the state as the district would've voted for Romney by mid to high single digits. Perhaps in North Carolina it might make a non-partisan Ellmers district more Democratic.

      In another such as Alabama however I doubt it makes any difference. You'd still have a D+0 Birmingham district and a black belt district with Montgomery, Selma, etc, it would just move southeast a little and get whiter. In Louisiana I think a non-VRA non-partisan map almost certainly costs us the Baton Rouge area seat though, so really you could just get a range of differences.

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