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However, there are millions of ways that evolutionary theory could have been falsified. JBS Haldane famously gave the example of "fossil rabbits in the Precambrian" (i.e. from before life began on land) -- they don't exist.
The molecular evidence of evolution could have failed to match the fossil evidence from paleontology, but it did not.
The radioactive dates assigned to fossils could have been inconsistent with evidence from geological sediments -- it wasn't.
I could go on, but my point is that it's better to think about real ways that scientists have tested a theory than worry about the abstract concerns of philosophers -- they've spent centuries merely catching up with the practice of science.
by theodicey on Wed Nov 02, 2005 at 11:41:37 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
There's a problem with saying that there are a million ways to "falsify" evolutionary theory: which of these arises from a risky prediction? To what extent does the Haldane example facilitate corroboration of the theory? If we don't observe fossil rabbits in the PreCambrian period, to what extent do we conclude that we have learned something about the applicability of evolutionary theory? I can't say that we learn absolutely nothing from this case, but its anecdotal form attributes little in the way of meaningful evidence. The proper question to ask is what is the probability that the theory is still true or false in the presence or absence of the observation. Scientists would say that this is therefore not a severe test, and thus it does little to establish evolutionary theory as scientific.
I think most scientists find the work of Popper, Kuhn, Lakatos, Scheffler, Salmon, Hacking, Mayo, etc.. as quite relevant to the practice of science. Kuhn's "Structure of Scientific Revolutions" didn't make the NYTimes 100 most influential books since WWII for nothing. But this is a digression.
Time lost is always a disadvantage that is bound in some way to weaken him who loses it. -Clausewitz
by Malachite on Thu Nov 03, 2005 at 12:25:46 AM PDT
by bilge on Thu Nov 03, 2005 at 05:49:49 AM PDT
by Smallbottle on Thu Nov 03, 2005 at 06:06:21 AM PDT
Can I get a mint? I have Scalitosis
by Gleeb on Thu Nov 03, 2005 at 01:01:47 PM PDT
wide narrow
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